NRL ROUND 8 – STORM v WARRIORS- FREE TIPS

Melbourne Storm Vs New Zealand Warriors
25 April 2017, 7pm (AEST)
AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm, 2nd, 6-0-1

For a club that won the game, the press conference resembled more like a wake, than a happy coach and captain. Captain C. Smith was not happy with his sides performance and let it be known. He Heavily criticised their defensive effort (allowed 5 tries) as soft, one thing for sure I wouldn’t want to be at his captains run this week.
Despite his thoughts, the Storm skipped away to a flying start, scoring in the first minute and quickly followed this up with three more tries, taking an early 18-0 lead. They allowed 2 tries but then hit back with two of their own via F. Kaufusi, but a late B. Kelly try kept Manly in the hunt.
The Storm then didn’t score a solitary point in the second 40 minutes, the previous week they failed to score a try vs Cronulla, a little concerning, however hey did enough to get the two points vs a gutsy Manly team.
New Zealand Warriors, 11th, 3-0-4

One of the hardest teams to get a read on and last round was not much better. They came flying out of the gates vs the Raiders and scored the opening try in the 6th minute. A shock to all the Raiders fans, but that would be the last time they would cross over the white line. A S. Johnson penalty conversion would be the only other points for them. It was a gallant effort by the Warriors, holding the Raiders out until the 19th minute, where B.J. Leilua scored his first of 2 tries for the night. The Warriors then managed to take the lead into half time and with held a lot of the Raiders attacking plays off. It took, B.J.Leilua in the 59th minute to get over and what seems to be a trend for the Raiders, is if they score one try and second and sometimes third try isn’t far away. Unfortunately for the Warriors, this was the case with sustained pressure from the Raiders, a sneaky snipe from J. Hodgson in the 66th minute all but sealed their loss. A gallant effort away from home, but it gets no easier this week.

Stats that matter:
Round 7
Completion rate Storm 91%, Warriors 67%
Errors Storm 5 to Warriors 17
Missed tackles comparison Storm 22, Warriors 37
Possession 49% to storm, Warriors 46%
Run meters Storm 1,527m, Warriors 1,474m
Points scored Storm 30, Warriors 8
Points leaked Storm 26, Warriors 20

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Melbourne Storm

C. Munster is still relegated onto the bench with R. Jacks showing enough to start. This may change, time will tell. If they run with a similar interchange Munster will get the lions share of game time again.
W. Chambers slots back into centre, forcing Y. Tonumaipea out to 18th man, as S. Vinivalu and J.A-Carr has secured the wing positions this year to date.
team changes, injuries to affect game

New Zealand Warriors

Finally getting some consistency in their team with no changes listed 1-17, but exciting news for B. Matulino fans as he could make his return on the bench.

Their last 5 game report card:

Storm have won 4 games, 2 at AAMI park,
NZ have won once and that was at Mt Smart stadium.

2017 – Round 2 – Storm won by 16 points at MT Smart Stadium
2016 – Round 8 – Storm won by 42 points at AAMI stadium
2016 – Round 3 – Storm won by 7 points at MT Smart Stadium
2015 – Round 18 – NZ won by 14 points at MT Smart Stadium
2015 – Round 5 – Storm won by 16 points at AAMI Park

Fun fact for the conspiracy lovers out there, NZ has won every three years at AAMI stadium since 2011:
2011, won by 4 and 8 points, 2012 Lost by 18, 2013 lost by 10,
2014 Won by 6, 2015 lost by 16, 2016 lost by 42
2017…………can they cause an upset? So far this round 4 under dogs have from 6 games.
What we take from this?
It will be a hard slog for the Warriors this game, with C. Smith’s post game reaction I would not want to be playing them this week. The Storm will be too clinical and with less errors they will be unable to upset the Warriors. If the Warriors get unpicked early with a few tries, it could get ugly.

For Us Storm win, however $1.30 odds is not worth the risk, especially in this round where the under dogs seem to be winning.

Free Tip:
Points Markets – Away Team points (New Zealand) 13.5 – UNDER 13.5 $1.88 (Ladbrokes)
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Why?
In round 2 this year the Warriors only managed 10 points at Home vs the Storm.
So far this season on away games (3), New Zealand have not scored over 12 points.
The Storm have not conceded more than 12 points whilst being at home in 2017.

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NRL ROUND 8 – SHARKS v TITANS- FREE TIPS

Cronulla Sharks Vs Gold Coast Titans
22 April 2017, 7:40pm (AEST)
Southern Cross Stadium

Can the Premiers of 2016, maintain their defence against an injury riddled Gold Coast Titans (GCT) outfit that is a shell of their week one team.
Will the Blue Wall maintain its current Defensive dominance or can the GCT cause a massive upset?

Cronulla Sharks, 5-0-2, 3rd

Another enormous defensive effort by the Sharks, as for the second time in consecutive weeks they held the opposition to Zero tries. Now these weren’t bottom dwellers teams, they are serious title contenders in the Melbourne Storm and Penrith Panthers. To make this even more impressive both these games were away games for the Sharks. A massive effort across the park is what is starting to convince many a critic that the Sharks can go “back to back” Premierships. Penrith had their star players returned but even with this, the Sharks held strong and really pressured the Penrith young halves and ground them out of the game. V. Holmes was out of this world, with 219m, 2 offloads and a line break. He’s really growing well into the Full back position that he’s wanted for a very long time. The Sharks forwards really set the platform this week, with Heighington (138m) Fifita (123m) Graham (121m) Gallen (115m) and Lewis (100m) really dominating the Penrith pack, only allowing 2 forwards to cross the 100m for the game, Yeo (127m) and R.C-Gillard (101m). A special mention must go out to W. Graham, aka the Homing Missile, for shutting down any halves that dare to come to his side of the field. Executing bone crushing tackles and his ability to read the plays before they unfold. He’s sticking his hand up for the representation rounds coming up. With reporters backing his name to Break into the Australian team and to be selected in the Blues team come origin.

Gold Coast Titans, 1-0-6, 15th

Pre season the GCT must have really upset the “footy gods” as the injury curse continued last week. With R. James, C. Grevsmuhl, D. Copley and M. King all joining the injury ward. They were heart brokenly defeated by a charged down kick in the 78th minute that led to J. Roberts scoring his 3rd try that night. Statistically speaking they should have won the game, with a higher completion rate, more kick meters, less errors, more conversions and more completed sets. But where the fear is this week, as per last week is their go forward and total meters were poor with 341m less than the Broncos. A Special mention to J. Wallace, who played his best game to date against his old club, smashing and bashing 264m from 26 runs, 33 tackles, 3 tackle busts. He will have to be at this level again to try and help his GCT to a victory this week against one of the best packs going around.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Cronulla Sharks

Named 1-17 for the 2nd week in a row.

Gold Coast Titans

Few unknowns this week, with 3 star players all potentially coming back. Most likely is J. Hayne returning to the side, with rumours Proctor and Hurrell could be more than 50% chances of getting a run on or bench position.

Their last 5 game report card:
Sharks have won 2 games, once at Southern Cross Group.
Gold Coast Titans have won 2 games, surprisingly both at Southern Cross Group.
And they have had a draw.

2016 – Round 21 – DRAW (18-18) – CBUS Stadium
2016 – Round 6 – Sharks won by 5 – Southern Cross Group Stadium
2015 – Round 10 – Sharks won by 1 – CBUS Stadium
2015 – Round 4 – GCT won by 2 – Southern Cross Group Stadium
2014 – Round 1 – GCT won by 6 – Southern Cross Group Stadium

What we take from this?

This is a danger game for the Sharks, with their coaching staff doing their best to stop “complacency” creeping into this match up. On paper, the Sharks team and statistics are screaming an easy victory and for us we have to agree. History suggests it will be a close encounter, with the largest winning margin from their last 5 games only being 6 points and a Draw, however this doesn’t take into consideration the current form guide.
With more team changes than a Casinos deck of cards for the GCT, we don’t see them finding a flow to be able to stifle the Sharks.

For Us the Sharks will be to strong across the park and are in exceptional form.

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NRL ROUND 8 – RAIDERS v SEA EAGLES- FREE TIPS

Canberra Raiders Vs Manly Sea Eagles
21 April 2017, 6pm (AEST)
GIO Stadium

The Raiders are on a three game winning streak, can “Lei-Pana” dominance continue with the engine room delivering top end results? Vs a Manly team much like their resident beach, up and down waves, in wins and losses this season to date.
Can a Maroon Tidal wave make its way in land to the Nations capital? Or will the Raiders ride this wave into another winning sun set?

Canberra Raiders, 4-0-3, 5th

The “Lei-Pana” combination continues to develop and deliver results. Last week vs the Warriors, it was B.J. Leilua to benefit in the try department. He scored 2 or their 3 tries, 19th and 59th minute, with Hodgson sealing the game in the 66th minute. J. Croker continued his high scoring in matches (8 points) and kicked the Warriors out of the game, winning 20-8. The Raiders once again destroyed their opponents in run meters, last week by 349m, with 10 of their 17 players clearing 100m each, half of which where forwards. Paulo (185m), Papalii (180m) Soliola (138m) Boyd (128m) and Whitehead (122m) all continue their middle destructions of teams. This allowed Wighton (186m) Rapana (158m) Leilua (139m) Cotric (125m) and Croker (107m) to pick and choose their runs and get the victory. Another 80 minute performance that will keep the positive vibes rolling in the “Green Machines” camp. They are more then making up for the slow start to the season, showing why people are rating them a chance to go all the way in 2017. Now we are moving into the colder months of the year they will be harder again to beat, with the likely hood of playing along side penguins and polar bears in the next months.

Manly Sea Eagles, 3-0-4, 9th

So close yet so far, is a fair wrap up of their game vs the Storm. Manly let in 6 tries in the first half, the first in the opening minute of the game. But showed some real determination and worked hard for each other and reduced the deficit to 14 points at Half time, score line of 30-16. The 2nd 40 minutes they held the Storm to a Duck Egg, Zero points, but couldn’t score enough with only managing 2 tries to take the final score to 26-30. The main concern for Manly was extremely poor defence from their left edge (B. Kelly and J. Taufua). They will be working extremely hard this week, before they match up against, yep you guessed it “Lei-Pana”. However If Manly forget about Croker and Cotric (who are growing as an impressive pair themselves) it could be a very long day indeed. We are worried for Manly, as last week was a physical affair and now they will be walking into another hard fought game upfront. For them to be a chance of winning, they need to turn around their 76% completion rate, reduce their error rate from 8 and fix up their kicking game. A tough ask in 6 days.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Canberra Raiders

No changes, expected to run out 1-17 as per last week’s game.

Manly Sea Eagles

A collective sigh of relief from Manly fans as Big Bodied M. Taupau returns to the starting side. His offload will be one to watch, with their spine working off his massive shoulders.
L. Perrett is out with injury and A.Fonua-Blake is expected dot take his place on the bench.
N. Myles has also been named after his “rest” last week and is listed as no.18. For Qld coach and fans, they would be hoping to see him out there against a large pack to keep his hat in the ring off a big performance, for the upcoming representational period.
The remainder of the bench is a little confusing with 2 utilities named, vs a large Raiders pack, this is leading us to think that they will try to run them around the park.

Their last 5 game report card:
Raiders have won 3 games, once at GIO, Manly have won 2 games, also once at GIO.

2016 – Round 25 – Raiders won by 14 at Lottoland
2016 – Round 13 – Raiders won by 12 at GIO
2015 – Round 23 – Manly won by 2 at GIO
2015 – Round 5 – Raiders won by 13 at Lavington
2014 – Round 8 – Manly won by 36 at Lottoland

What we take from this?
Last years form of the Raiders is starting to be replicated now this year, if not better as their combinations and forwards have grown immensely. We see a Raiders victory here and the odds of $1.25 are saying the Bookies do also. Before last weeks results we were thinking Total Game Points Over 42.5, with their last 5 games going over this total. However the Storm where terrible in defence last week and the Raiders held the Warriors for the first time this year under 10 points.

For Us the Raiders defence will win this game by frustrating Manly’s key men, forcing errors and giving the Green machines forwards to much ball. As we have seen this year to date, if the Forwards are chewing up the middle metres, the Raiders backs have the class to finish it off.

We have the Raiders winning by 12+, the best odds we have found are on Ladbrokes:

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NRL ROUND 7 – PANTHERS v SHARKS- FREE TIPS

Penrith Panthers Vs Cronulla Sharks
16 April 2017, 4pm (AEST)
Pepper Stadium

The Panthers welcome the return of the exiled players from an internal ban, also coming off a disappointing loss at the Hands of the Rabbitohs and now they face the Premiers. The Sharks are riding the wave of being the first team to defeat the Storm in 2017 and on home soil at that.
Will the exiles lift the Panthers against a possibly fatigued Sharks that played in terrible wet conditions?

Penrith Panthers 2-0-4, 12th

They almost pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week, but fell short against the Rabbitohs. Cleary again displaying his future star power, slotting a side line kick with 3 minutes to lock it up, absolute class. The back three from Penrith were immense, all clearing 100m with some tough runs when under pressure. A very good sign showing their depth if injury strikes this club. J. Tamou is starting to find his feet and justifying his large price tag with 159m, 39 tackles and a tackle break. He is going to have to lead again this week against another tough pack of forwards. For us, T. Merrin seems a bit off this year, he’s not offloading at will, or poor choices have crept in, unlike last year where he was a machine. He missed 6 tackles last game, also maybe alluding to some issues that aren’t public just yet. He is a star player and should come good, but what this has allowed is the rise of C. H-Naera, he’s played 3 games this year and has been in great form. A beautiful short pass saw him untouched last week, with 4 tackle busts and 2 offloads he’s one to watch.
The Penrith pack will be tested, especially the edge defenders with set plays targeting them. Up the middle it will be epic, with big bodies everywhere, watch for Moylan to be sniffing around for a late offload to ignite his team.

Cronulla Sharks 4-0-2, 3rd

The Premiers dug in, rolled up their tight sleeves and just out muscled the Storm in the middle of the park (running up 1,686m). Add in some niggle from both teams and this modern day rivalry is growing each game they play. Let’s be honest, in monsoonal rains, typically saved for the northern states, it was a terrible game handling wise, with 27 errors between them, 64 missed tackles and 23 incomplete sets. Ridiculous numbers considering the talent and class of these two clubs. Sharks fans we’re ecstatic when J. “ice in his veins” Maloney snapped a Feild goal with 10 minutes to go and took the lead 3-2, a throw back score to the early days of Rugby league. But it was a B. Slater mistake that allowed J. Segeyaro to score the only try of the match under the black dot in the 73rd minute to seal the dower match.

The Sharks will be on high alert to watch M. Moylan as Penrith last week just lacked that last pass on a few occasions. They will also be wanting to work the middle third again and it won’t be an easy task, but if they can, it will go a long way to winning the game.

Weather prediction (correct as at 10:32pm, source Weather zone)
No Scuba gear required this week as its expected to be a sunny day.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Penrith Panthers
As alluded to, Penrith welcome back their captain M. Moylan and W. Blake from their clubs imposed ban.
J.F-Harris returns from his injury and forces C. H-Naera to the bench.
Origin smokey T. Peachy, seems to have recovered from a niggling rib injury.
B. Cartwright and P. Hiku have also been named, numbers 21 and 20, they could be late inclusions.

Cronulla Sharks
After scoring the match winning try and some class plays from J. Segeyaro, it was released he in fact had played with a broken arm. This allows K. Capewell to take his position on the bench.

Their last 5 game report card:
Penrith have won once, their victory was at Pepper stadium.
Sharks have won 4 of the last encounters, once at Pepper stadium.

2016 – Round 16 – Sharks won by 16 at Pepper stadium
2016 – Round 8 – Sharks won by 2 points at Southern Cross Group stadium
2015 – Round 8 – Penrith won by 8 points at Pepper stadium
2014 – Round 14 – Sharks won by 2 at Carrington stadium
2014 – Round 8 – Sharks won by 4 at Southern Cross Group Stadium

What we take from this?

We aren’t sure why the Sharks are not the favourites in this game? Having won their last four against Penrith and retaining the majority of their premiership team, with no major structural changes at this stage, it seems weird to us.
Penrith do welcome back some key players, will they click straight away? It depends on their (Penrith) forwards to win the middle battle. If the Sharks turn the screws up the middle third of the ground, Penrith will find it hard to counter act the Sharks attacking skills.
Penrith score a lot of points in the middle third of the ground, however this plays into the Sharks defence as they rarely concede tries there, it’s their wingers that seem to leak tries.

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NRL ROUND 7 – RAIDERS v WARRIORS – FREE TIPS

Canberra Raiders Vs New Zealand Warriors
15 April 2017, 5:30pm (AEST)
GIO Stadium

A Green machine firing on all cylinders, propelled by “Le-Pana” and its big men going forward vs New Zealand Warriors building form from their halves and their exciting influence on their team mates, who are now really having a dig.

Canberra Raiders 3-0-3, 6th

Another dominate performance by the Raiders disposing of the injury riddled Gold Coast Titans. “Le-Pana” (BJ. Leilua and J. Rapana) unbelievable connection continues to deliver, they managed to score (3 to Rapana) 4 out of the first 5 tries in a soul destroying 31 minutes. Rapana’s game was one for the history books and had Queensland selectors seeing if Wellington, New Zealand, was classified as “In Queensland”. As he punched out 234m, 19 tackle breaks (WOW), 3 Line Breaks and 3 tries. It was a throw back to the early 1990’s Raiders team, where their size and skill just out classed opposing teams at will. The forwards weren’t to be out done with J. Paulo (yes their prop) cleared the 200m mark also with 211m of hard running, J. Papalii 165m, S. Boyd 141m, E. Whitehead 114m and J. Tapine 105m really hurting the Gold Coast team in the middle of the pack.
Their forwards will be tested this week, vs some big mobile bodies from New Zealand and we are intrigued to see how this section of the match plays out.

New Zealand Warriors 3-0-3, 10th

It is no surprise that the Warriors form is heading north due to K. Foran’s influence both on and off the field. This man is a Foot Baller, love him or hate him, he’s one of the most dedicate players going around atm. He looks like he has dealt with his demons and is now repaying the faith/community of NZ and it’s contagious. I. Luke once again was sniping from the dummy half and his big men followed him, with 4 forwards clearing the 100m and Hoffman on 97m. Their captain, R. T-Sheck, once again cleared 200m (209m) as he busted 9 tackles, with one line break. Inspirational stuff that everyone is seeing and building on. They were simply too good for the Eels, whom struggled to take their chances, lacked go forward (only one forward cracked 100m, N. brown 114m) and missed B. French’s elusiveness.
The Warriors for the first time in a long time put in for the full 80 minutes, can they do it again and cause a boil over in the nations capital? Time will tell.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

No team changes at this stage, with both teams expected to run out 1-17

Their last 5 game report card: Raiders 2 wins, 1 at GIO, NZ 3 wins, 2 wins at GIO

2016 – Round 20 – Raiders won by 4 at GIO
2016 – Round 11 – Raiders won by 26
2015 – Round 16 – NZ won by 22 at Mt Smart
2015 – Round 2 – NZ won by 12 at GIO
2014 – Round 21 – NZ won by 36 at GIO
Year – Round – who won by how much – stadium

What we take from this?
Both teams unchanged is a great sign that we should see some consistency from previous games. We are thinking it will be a relatively close game, not a blow out as predicted, with the Warriors spine firing, this will keep them in it. The plus line looked like the play at +10 for $1.90, however we have found something even better.

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NRL ROUND 7 – BULLDOGS v RABBITOHS – FREE TIPS

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
14 April 2017, 4pm (AEST)
ANZ Stadium

Game 1 of Good Friday and what a cracker, two packs that really dislike each other and origin hopefuls in their halves. Are the Bulldogs starting to flex their muscles? or can a Souths team show us why we shouldn’t be writing them off just yet?

Canterbury Bulldogs 3-0-3, 11th

An interesting game vs the Knights last week, where if a few calls went the Knights way, they could have lost. The Knights had two disallowed tries, one that is causing a lot of riffs in fan clubs, but the Bulldogs did hold off an inspired Knights outfit, that is proving they are no easy beat.
Some good points from the Bulldogs, with J. Graham making 219m, a crazy 42 tackles (didn’t miss one), 3 offloads and only the one error from this monster effort. Sam Kasiano, was also in a mood crashing and bashing his way to 160m, A. Tolman 137m (51 tackles) and J. Jackson also cleared the 100m mark with 112m.
Very positive signs for this proud pack with their big names starting to find form and off the back of this Mbye and J. Reynolds will find their groove.
For us this game is a danger, they rely heavily on their forward pack and vs a Souths pack which is also finding their feet, we can’t wait.

South Sydney Rabbitohs 3-0-3, 9th

A hard fought win last week against a depleted Penrith outfit, will give them lots of confidence going into this clash. But is it a flash in the pan or a sign that the Rabbitohs are hitting their goals internally now and producing the goods on the field. An absolute stand out was C. Walker, 145m, 23 tackles, 6 tackle breaks and a Try. He was in everything and he must have had spiders on him, as he carved up the Penrith attack. To think he was finally given a crack at first grade at the ripe age of 26, is a shame. He has all the talent and now is showing why Souths released Keary and kept him. Also in some career best form, J. Sutton made 146m, 2 tackle breaks, 1 line break, 1 line break assist and try assist, another indicator that Souths are slowly getting better. Another clutch field goal by A. Reynolds, as he pushes his hat into the origin arena showcasing his ability to deliver in tough and fatiguing situations. He will be tested this week with pressure from this Bulldogs pack and watch for him being hit every time he kicks the Ball.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Canterbury Bulldogs

B. Morris switches to Full back, with B. Abbey out
D. Klemmer is also out, with possibly A. Elliot replacing him, but there is a large amount of forwards named.
Holland comes back to the team and has found his place on the wing.
It will be interesting to see their bench, if they add Frawley or Garvey to their final list or go Forward Heavy.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

No Changes are expected.

Their last 5 game report card:
Bulldogs 2 wins, both at ANZ, Souths 3 wins, all at ANZ. (Last 14 matches between these 2 clubs have been at ANZ, both winning 7 games.)

2016 – Round 26 – Souths won by 18
2016 – Round 4 – Bulldogs won by 30
2015 – Round 24 – Bulldogs won by 14
2015 – Round 15 – Souths won by 1
2014 – Grand final – Souths won by 24

What we take from this?
We don’t consider the ground a major factor, as both teams have played there numerous times, with a 50% win rate split atm (since 2011). On form, the Bulldogs have won their last two games, where Souths just broke a two game losing streak. It’s not an easy game at all to pick as all over the park, we see even match ups.

For Us, With both forward packs unlikely to be intimidated, we are still finding it hard to pick a winner, due to the Bulldogs team changes. A. Reynolds superior kicking game, will help Souths no end, it’s going to come down to discipline and either team can be guilty of being poor in this department .

But we have found some gold below.

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Souths have cleared this total 4/6 games so far this year.
Souths at ANZ have cleared this total 11 out of their last 14 games.

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NRL ROUND 6 – WARRIROS v EELS – FREE TIPS

New Zealand Warriors Vs Parramatta Eels
9 April 2017, 2pm
My Smart Stadium

New Zealand Warriors 2-0-3, 13th

With the introduction of K. Foran, the other Stars of the Warriors spine seemed to click. S. Johnson looked like returning to his prime form, with the calming influence of Foran and his ability to take responsibility off him. I. Luke also finally remembered he’s best playing direct and sniping from dummy half (119m, at least 60m more than previous weeks), dragging the other forwards with him. Lillyman (169m) Lisone (147m), Hoffman (112m) and Gavet (105m) seemed to benefit the most with Luke sniping more.
Mind you, they only just won against a depleted Titans outfit by 6 points. This is a worry, as they come up against a team this week that can score points but have lost their way. Their defence will be tested by players with exceptional speed, which could be a worry.
For us, R.Tuivasa-Sheck positional and run return game is going to determine the outcome of this game. If he can poke his nose through the line on kick returns and bust tackles when under pressure, this will allow Johnson and Foran space and time to put on some plays and get their attacking ticking.

Parramatta Eels 2-0-3, 12th

After a blistering start, the Eels have slumped to their 3rd straight loss going down to the Raiders 30-18. They were traveling well, but the Raiders scored 3 tries in 8 blistering minutes. They fought back, but a solo try to teenage sensation Cotric, sealed the Raiders victory. The Eels can trouble the top teams IF they can get their attack in order, but like Warriors defensive sets seem to keep letting teams get back into games. For the Eels to win tomorrow, we would think they need to hold the Warriors to under 16 points, which they have not managed to do in their last 5 games.
For us, S. Radradra needs to be more involved. He does on average have around 16 runs a game, but in this contest we want to see those figures around 21+. This would mean he clears the 220m mark and then some. He is a devastating ball runner that has gone missing, if he steps up and bags a try or two, the Eels will be hard to stop.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

New Zealand Warriors
It seems the confidence is high with Foran’s medical issues as A. Hingano is bumped off the team and replaced by N. Roach. And C. Gubb gets the nod to start over J. Gavet.

Parramatta Eels
B. Scott is strengthening the Eels forward pack by starting, putting N. Brown back to the bench. The Eels also welcome back another big body in T. Moeroa, but in bad news for League fans excitement machine B. French is out, replaced by Ex GCT scoring machine, J. Hoffman. K. Auva’a slots into the centre position in further changes to the back line.

Their last 5 game report card: NZ has won 3 games, 2 at Mt Smart, Eels have won twice, once at Mt Smart Stadium
2016 – Round 26 – Eels won by 22 points at Mt Smart Stadium
2015 – Round 10 – NZ won by 4 points at Pirtek stadium
2015 – Round 3 – NZ won by 13 at Mt Smart stadium
2014 – Round 18 – NZ won by 48 at Mt Smart stadium
2014 – Round 1 – Eels won by 20 at Pirtek stadium

What we take from this?
Both teams defensively are well below the top teams to date. It will be the team that handles this pressure the best, that will get the two competition points. NZ attacking power looked like it turned a corner last week and with B. French out that hurts the Eels in attack. With the other change to the Eels back line, we believe the Warriors can exploit this and take the win as defensively the Eels structures still won’t be crisp.

For Us NZ win either in a close game or blow the Eels away.

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NRL ROUND 6 – BRONCOS v ROOSTERS – FREE TIPS

Brisbane Broncos Vs Sydney Roosters
6 April 2017, 7:50pm (AEST)
Suncorp Stadium

It’s a mouth watering game that seems appropriate to kick off Round 6, with both teams coming off losses, this could be a preview for the finals series.

Brisbane Broncos 2-0-3, 9th

Back at home will ease the pain of last week’s defeat at the hands of the Bulldogs. A drenched pitch really hurt their attack and in the end the Bulldogs out played them on the extra efforts that seems to be missing from Brisbane. In a low scoring game, the Brisbane team lacked the finishing punch, very un Brisbane like, this will have to change this week, otherwise the Roosters could put a few tries on them.
Defensively Brisbane are still in control, for us their short kicking game was highlighted poorly last week, not managing repeat sets, or giving a 7 tackle set won’t allow you to win many games this year. We are expecting this to change this week, with coach Bennett sorting out those issues, along with people understanding basic rules.

Sydney Roosters 4-0-1, 3rd

Suffering their first defeat at the hands of the high flying Sea Eagles, was a shock to many fans, who had another win already marked on their sheets. However,
another wet game, kept the scoring low and the Roosters error count was to high to maintain pressure on Manly. If they continue this trend, add in 11 incomplete sets, 33 missed tackles against Brisbane, they have enough try scorers in their team to hurt them. The back three for the Roosters will have to lift a notch this week, going against a more mobile Brisbane pack, we are expecting a lot better kicking game forcing the Roosters to return the ball from their danger zone constantly.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Brisbane Broncos
D. Mead is on standby in case J. Roberts doesn’t recover from a ham string niggle. Apart from that they are 1-17 from last week.

Sydney Roosters
I. Liu gets the run on 10 jumper with D. Napa nursing an ankle injury and K. Evans joins the bench.
Minus the above changes, they maintain the other players from last weeks defeat.

Their last 5 game report card:

Brisbane won 3 times, all at Suncorp. Sydney 2 wins, none at Suncorp.
2016 – Round 26 – Brisbane won by 10 at Suncorp
2016 – Round 21 – Sydney won by 16 at Allianz
2015 – Round 29 – Brisbane won by 19 at Suncorp
2015 – Round 24 – Sydney won by 2 at Allianz
2015 – Round 6 – Brisbane won by 4 at Suncorp

What we take from this?

Brisbane seem to have the edge over the Roosters at Home, even during 2015, where the Roosters where highly tipped to win the competition. Both teams defence will be a highlight in this game with errors being the undoing for the Roosters. D. Napa’s efforts will be sorely missed also in the middle of the ruck, expecting the fast men of Brisbane to really target this area.

For Us Brisbane at home, on an expected dry pitch, at odds of $1.81 on Pinnacle is too hard to go past.

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