NRL ROUND 7 – PANTHERS v SHARKS- FREE TIPS

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Penrith Panthers Vs Cronulla Sharks
16 April 2017, 4pm (AEST)
Pepper Stadium

The Panthers welcome the return of the exiled players from an internal ban, also coming off a disappointing loss at the Hands of the Rabbitohs and now they face the Premiers. The Sharks are riding the wave of being the first team to defeat the Storm in 2017 and on home soil at that.
Will the exiles lift the Panthers against a possibly fatigued Sharks that played in terrible wet conditions?

Penrith Panthers 2-0-4, 12th

They almost pulled a rabbit out of the hat last week, but fell short against the Rabbitohs. Cleary again displaying his future star power, slotting a side line kick with 3 minutes to lock it up, absolute class. The back three from Penrith were immense, all clearing 100m with some tough runs when under pressure. A very good sign showing their depth if injury strikes this club. J. Tamou is starting to find his feet and justifying his large price tag with 159m, 39 tackles and a tackle break. He is going to have to lead again this week against another tough pack of forwards. For us, T. Merrin seems a bit off this year, he’s not offloading at will, or poor choices have crept in, unlike last year where he was a machine. He missed 6 tackles last game, also maybe alluding to some issues that aren’t public just yet. He is a star player and should come good, but what this has allowed is the rise of C. H-Naera, he’s played 3 games this year and has been in great form. A beautiful short pass saw him untouched last week, with 4 tackle busts and 2 offloads he’s one to watch.
The Penrith pack will be tested, especially the edge defenders with set plays targeting them. Up the middle it will be epic, with big bodies everywhere, watch for Moylan to be sniffing around for a late offload to ignite his team.

Cronulla Sharks 4-0-2, 3rd

The Premiers dug in, rolled up their tight sleeves and just out muscled the Storm in the middle of the park (running up 1,686m). Add in some niggle from both teams and this modern day rivalry is growing each game they play. Let’s be honest, in monsoonal rains, typically saved for the northern states, it was a terrible game handling wise, with 27 errors between them, 64 missed tackles and 23 incomplete sets. Ridiculous numbers considering the talent and class of these two clubs. Sharks fans we’re ecstatic when J. “ice in his veins” Maloney snapped a Feild goal with 10 minutes to go and took the lead 3-2, a throw back score to the early days of Rugby league. But it was a B. Slater mistake that allowed J. Segeyaro to score the only try of the match under the black dot in the 73rd minute to seal the dower match.

The Sharks will be on high alert to watch M. Moylan as Penrith last week just lacked that last pass on a few occasions. They will also be wanting to work the middle third again and it won’t be an easy task, but if they can, it will go a long way to winning the game.

Weather prediction (correct as at 10:32pm, source Weather zone)
No Scuba gear required this week as its expected to be a sunny day.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Penrith Panthers
As alluded to, Penrith welcome back their captain M. Moylan and W. Blake from their clubs imposed ban.
J.F-Harris returns from his injury and forces C. H-Naera to the bench.
Origin smokey T. Peachy, seems to have recovered from a niggling rib injury.
B. Cartwright and P. Hiku have also been named, numbers 21 and 20, they could be late inclusions.

Cronulla Sharks
After scoring the match winning try and some class plays from J. Segeyaro, it was released he in fact had played with a broken arm. This allows K. Capewell to take his position on the bench.

Their last 5 game report card:
Penrith have won once, their victory was at Pepper stadium.
Sharks have won 4 of the last encounters, once at Pepper stadium.

2016 – Round 16 – Sharks won by 16 at Pepper stadium
2016 – Round 8 – Sharks won by 2 points at Southern Cross Group stadium
2015 – Round 8 – Penrith won by 8 points at Pepper stadium
2014 – Round 14 – Sharks won by 2 at Carrington stadium
2014 – Round 8 – Sharks won by 4 at Southern Cross Group Stadium

What we take from this?

We aren’t sure why the Sharks are not the favourites in this game? Having won their last four against Penrith and retaining the majority of their premiership team, with no major structural changes at this stage, it seems weird to us.
Penrith do welcome back some key players, will they click straight away? It depends on their (Penrith) forwards to win the middle battle. If the Sharks turn the screws up the middle third of the ground, Penrith will find it hard to counter act the Sharks attacking skills.
Penrith score a lot of points in the middle third of the ground, however this plays into the Sharks defence as they rarely concede tries there, it’s their wingers that seem to leak tries.

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NRL ROUND 7 – RAIDERS v WARRIORS – FREE TIPS

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Canberra Raiders Vs New Zealand Warriors
15 April 2017, 5:30pm (AEST)
GIO Stadium

A Green machine firing on all cylinders, propelled by “Le-Pana” and its big men going forward vs New Zealand Warriors building form from their halves and their exciting influence on their team mates, who are now really having a dig.

Canberra Raiders 3-0-3, 6th

Another dominate performance by the Raiders disposing of the injury riddled Gold Coast Titans. “Le-Pana” (BJ. Leilua and J. Rapana) unbelievable connection continues to deliver, they managed to score (3 to Rapana) 4 out of the first 5 tries in a soul destroying 31 minutes. Rapana’s game was one for the history books and had Queensland selectors seeing if Wellington, New Zealand, was classified as “In Queensland”. As he punched out 234m, 19 tackle breaks (WOW), 3 Line Breaks and 3 tries. It was a throw back to the early 1990’s Raiders team, where their size and skill just out classed opposing teams at will. The forwards weren’t to be out done with J. Paulo (yes their prop) cleared the 200m mark also with 211m of hard running, J. Papalii 165m, S. Boyd 141m, E. Whitehead 114m and J. Tapine 105m really hurting the Gold Coast team in the middle of the pack.
Their forwards will be tested this week, vs some big mobile bodies from New Zealand and we are intrigued to see how this section of the match plays out.

New Zealand Warriors 3-0-3, 10th

It is no surprise that the Warriors form is heading north due to K. Foran’s influence both on and off the field. This man is a Foot Baller, love him or hate him, he’s one of the most dedicate players going around atm. He looks like he has dealt with his demons and is now repaying the faith/community of NZ and it’s contagious. I. Luke once again was sniping from the dummy half and his big men followed him, with 4 forwards clearing the 100m and Hoffman on 97m. Their captain, R. T-Sheck, once again cleared 200m (209m) as he busted 9 tackles, with one line break. Inspirational stuff that everyone is seeing and building on. They were simply too good for the Eels, whom struggled to take their chances, lacked go forward (only one forward cracked 100m, N. brown 114m) and missed B. French’s elusiveness.
The Warriors for the first time in a long time put in for the full 80 minutes, can they do it again and cause a boil over in the nations capital? Time will tell.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

No team changes at this stage, with both teams expected to run out 1-17

Their last 5 game report card: Raiders 2 wins, 1 at GIO, NZ 3 wins, 2 wins at GIO

2016 – Round 20 – Raiders won by 4 at GIO
2016 – Round 11 – Raiders won by 26
2015 – Round 16 – NZ won by 22 at Mt Smart
2015 – Round 2 – NZ won by 12 at GIO
2014 – Round 21 – NZ won by 36 at GIO
Year – Round – who won by how much – stadium

What we take from this?
Both teams unchanged is a great sign that we should see some consistency from previous games. We are thinking it will be a relatively close game, not a blow out as predicted, with the Warriors spine firing, this will keep them in it. The plus line looked like the play at +10 for $1.90, however we have found something even better.

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NRL ROUND 7 – BULLDOGS v RABBITOHS – FREE TIPS

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Canterbury Bulldogs Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
14 April 2017, 4pm (AEST)
ANZ Stadium

Game 1 of Good Friday and what a cracker, two packs that really dislike each other and origin hopefuls in their halves. Are the Bulldogs starting to flex their muscles? or can a Souths team show us why we shouldn’t be writing them off just yet?

Canterbury Bulldogs 3-0-3, 11th

An interesting game vs the Knights last week, where if a few calls went the Knights way, they could have lost. The Knights had two disallowed tries, one that is causing a lot of riffs in fan clubs, but the Bulldogs did hold off an inspired Knights outfit, that is proving they are no easy beat.
Some good points from the Bulldogs, with J. Graham making 219m, a crazy 42 tackles (didn’t miss one), 3 offloads and only the one error from this monster effort. Sam Kasiano, was also in a mood crashing and bashing his way to 160m, A. Tolman 137m (51 tackles) and J. Jackson also cleared the 100m mark with 112m.
Very positive signs for this proud pack with their big names starting to find form and off the back of this Mbye and J. Reynolds will find their groove.
For us this game is a danger, they rely heavily on their forward pack and vs a Souths pack which is also finding their feet, we can’t wait.

South Sydney Rabbitohs 3-0-3, 9th

A hard fought win last week against a depleted Penrith outfit, will give them lots of confidence going into this clash. But is it a flash in the pan or a sign that the Rabbitohs are hitting their goals internally now and producing the goods on the field. An absolute stand out was C. Walker, 145m, 23 tackles, 6 tackle breaks and a Try. He was in everything and he must have had spiders on him, as he carved up the Penrith attack. To think he was finally given a crack at first grade at the ripe age of 26, is a shame. He has all the talent and now is showing why Souths released Keary and kept him. Also in some career best form, J. Sutton made 146m, 2 tackle breaks, 1 line break, 1 line break assist and try assist, another indicator that Souths are slowly getting better. Another clutch field goal by A. Reynolds, as he pushes his hat into the origin arena showcasing his ability to deliver in tough and fatiguing situations. He will be tested this week with pressure from this Bulldogs pack and watch for him being hit every time he kicks the Ball.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Canterbury Bulldogs

B. Morris switches to Full back, with B. Abbey out
D. Klemmer is also out, with possibly A. Elliot replacing him, but there is a large amount of forwards named.
Holland comes back to the team and has found his place on the wing.
It will be interesting to see their bench, if they add Frawley or Garvey to their final list or go Forward Heavy.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

No Changes are expected.

Their last 5 game report card:
Bulldogs 2 wins, both at ANZ, Souths 3 wins, all at ANZ. (Last 14 matches between these 2 clubs have been at ANZ, both winning 7 games.)

2016 – Round 26 – Souths won by 18
2016 – Round 4 – Bulldogs won by 30
2015 – Round 24 – Bulldogs won by 14
2015 – Round 15 – Souths won by 1
2014 – Grand final – Souths won by 24

What we take from this?
We don’t consider the ground a major factor, as both teams have played there numerous times, with a 50% win rate split atm (since 2011). On form, the Bulldogs have won their last two games, where Souths just broke a two game losing streak. It’s not an easy game at all to pick as all over the park, we see even match ups.

For Us, With both forward packs unlikely to be intimidated, we are still finding it hard to pick a winner, due to the Bulldogs team changes. A. Reynolds superior kicking game, will help Souths no end, it’s going to come down to discipline and either team can be guilty of being poor in this department .

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Souths have cleared this total 4/6 games so far this year.
Souths at ANZ have cleared this total 11 out of their last 14 games.

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NRL ROUND 6 – WARRIROS v EELS – FREE TIPS

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New Zealand Warriors Vs Parramatta Eels
9 April 2017, 2pm
My Smart Stadium

New Zealand Warriors 2-0-3, 13th

With the introduction of K. Foran, the other Stars of the Warriors spine seemed to click. S. Johnson looked like returning to his prime form, with the calming influence of Foran and his ability to take responsibility off him. I. Luke also finally remembered he’s best playing direct and sniping from dummy half (119m, at least 60m more than previous weeks), dragging the other forwards with him. Lillyman (169m) Lisone (147m), Hoffman (112m) and Gavet (105m) seemed to benefit the most with Luke sniping more.
Mind you, they only just won against a depleted Titans outfit by 6 points. This is a worry, as they come up against a team this week that can score points but have lost their way. Their defence will be tested by players with exceptional speed, which could be a worry.
For us, R.Tuivasa-Sheck positional and run return game is going to determine the outcome of this game. If he can poke his nose through the line on kick returns and bust tackles when under pressure, this will allow Johnson and Foran space and time to put on some plays and get their attacking ticking.

Parramatta Eels 2-0-3, 12th

After a blistering start, the Eels have slumped to their 3rd straight loss going down to the Raiders 30-18. They were traveling well, but the Raiders scored 3 tries in 8 blistering minutes. They fought back, but a solo try to teenage sensation Cotric, sealed the Raiders victory. The Eels can trouble the top teams IF they can get their attack in order, but like Warriors defensive sets seem to keep letting teams get back into games. For the Eels to win tomorrow, we would think they need to hold the Warriors to under 16 points, which they have not managed to do in their last 5 games.
For us, S. Radradra needs to be more involved. He does on average have around 16 runs a game, but in this contest we want to see those figures around 21+. This would mean he clears the 220m mark and then some. He is a devastating ball runner that has gone missing, if he steps up and bags a try or two, the Eels will be hard to stop.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

New Zealand Warriors
It seems the confidence is high with Foran’s medical issues as A. Hingano is bumped off the team and replaced by N. Roach. And C. Gubb gets the nod to start over J. Gavet.

Parramatta Eels
B. Scott is strengthening the Eels forward pack by starting, putting N. Brown back to the bench. The Eels also welcome back another big body in T. Moeroa, but in bad news for League fans excitement machine B. French is out, replaced by Ex GCT scoring machine, J. Hoffman. K. Auva’a slots into the centre position in further changes to the back line.

Their last 5 game report card: NZ has won 3 games, 2 at Mt Smart, Eels have won twice, once at Mt Smart Stadium
2016 – Round 26 – Eels won by 22 points at Mt Smart Stadium
2015 – Round 10 – NZ won by 4 points at Pirtek stadium
2015 – Round 3 – NZ won by 13 at Mt Smart stadium
2014 – Round 18 – NZ won by 48 at Mt Smart stadium
2014 – Round 1 – Eels won by 20 at Pirtek stadium

What we take from this?
Both teams defensively are well below the top teams to date. It will be the team that handles this pressure the best, that will get the two competition points. NZ attacking power looked like it turned a corner last week and with B. French out that hurts the Eels in attack. With the other change to the Eels back line, we believe the Warriors can exploit this and take the win as defensively the Eels structures still won’t be crisp.

For Us NZ win either in a close game or blow the Eels away.

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NRL ROUND 6 – BRONCOS v ROOSTERS – FREE TIPS

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Brisbane Broncos Vs Sydney Roosters
6 April 2017, 7:50pm (AEST)
Suncorp Stadium

It’s a mouth watering game that seems appropriate to kick off Round 6, with both teams coming off losses, this could be a preview for the finals series.

Brisbane Broncos 2-0-3, 9th

Back at home will ease the pain of last week’s defeat at the hands of the Bulldogs. A drenched pitch really hurt their attack and in the end the Bulldogs out played them on the extra efforts that seems to be missing from Brisbane. In a low scoring game, the Brisbane team lacked the finishing punch, very un Brisbane like, this will have to change this week, otherwise the Roosters could put a few tries on them.
Defensively Brisbane are still in control, for us their short kicking game was highlighted poorly last week, not managing repeat sets, or giving a 7 tackle set won’t allow you to win many games this year. We are expecting this to change this week, with coach Bennett sorting out those issues, along with people understanding basic rules.

Sydney Roosters 4-0-1, 3rd

Suffering their first defeat at the hands of the high flying Sea Eagles, was a shock to many fans, who had another win already marked on their sheets. However,
another wet game, kept the scoring low and the Roosters error count was to high to maintain pressure on Manly. If they continue this trend, add in 11 incomplete sets, 33 missed tackles against Brisbane, they have enough try scorers in their team to hurt them. The back three for the Roosters will have to lift a notch this week, going against a more mobile Brisbane pack, we are expecting a lot better kicking game forcing the Roosters to return the ball from their danger zone constantly.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Brisbane Broncos
D. Mead is on standby in case J. Roberts doesn’t recover from a ham string niggle. Apart from that they are 1-17 from last week.

Sydney Roosters
I. Liu gets the run on 10 jumper with D. Napa nursing an ankle injury and K. Evans joins the bench.
Minus the above changes, they maintain the other players from last weeks defeat.

Their last 5 game report card:

Brisbane won 3 times, all at Suncorp. Sydney 2 wins, none at Suncorp.
2016 – Round 26 – Brisbane won by 10 at Suncorp
2016 – Round 21 – Sydney won by 16 at Allianz
2015 – Round 29 – Brisbane won by 19 at Suncorp
2015 – Round 24 – Sydney won by 2 at Allianz
2015 – Round 6 – Brisbane won by 4 at Suncorp

What we take from this?

Brisbane seem to have the edge over the Roosters at Home, even during 2015, where the Roosters where highly tipped to win the competition. Both teams defence will be a highlight in this game with errors being the undoing for the Roosters. D. Napa’s efforts will be sorely missed also in the middle of the ruck, expecting the fast men of Brisbane to really target this area.

For Us Brisbane at home, on an expected dry pitch, at odds of $1.81 on Pinnacle is too hard to go past.

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NRL ROUND 5 – ROOSTERS v SEA EAGLES – FREE TIPS

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Sydney Roosters Vs Manly Sea Eagles
31 March 2017, 6pm (AEDST)
Allianz Stadium

Sydney Roosters 4-0-0

The resurgence of the Roosters continues with their 4th straight win to kick off the 2017 season and it gives them their best start to a season since 1996. A dominate performance from start to finish, with L. Mitchell scoring in the 5th minute and M. Gordon having a field day scoring a try and a personal tally of 12 for the game. Just an all round team effort that never relented on a South Sydney team that had a real dig, but couldn’t compete with 52% possession and highlighted by their only try in the 50th minute. The Roosters were a much better disciplined team only conceding 6 penalties to last weeks 9 and reduced their errors by 4 to 10. This week they will have to reduce their missed tackles, 38, if they want to keep their winning streak alive vs Manly, who can break tackles and offload to their backs.

Manly Sea Eagles 2-0-2

The Million dollar man (D.C-Evans) stood tall and guided his team to a resounding 36-0 score over a lacklustre Bulldogs outfit. DCE had an amazing 4 try assist, 20 tackles, 10 runs for 65m, that’s what they need from him week in week out, as they are starting to find their rhythm. He wasn’t alone, but everything did stem from his plays, with T. Trbojevic keeping his name on the tip of Blues selectors running for 199m, 2 Line Breaks and a try. His brother J. Trbojevic also is in contention and with performances like last week, 24 tackles, 4 offloads and 9 runs for 99m, you would think he isn’t too far away. With the return of M. Taupau, 179m with 5 offloads, the other forwards also seemed to lift, he has been missed and will need to be at his best for this week.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Sydney Roosters

J. Friend pulls on his boots this week returning from a facial injury, this forces P. Carter back to the bench.
B. Ferguson has been named once again on the extended bench. He is still battling a rib injury, that is tricky to gain your confidence back from. If he is fit, expect J. Manu to drop off the team.
Rest of the team is unchanged.

Manly Sea Eagles

Named 1-17 and expected to be unchanged as Manly are finding some form.

Their last 5 game report card: Roosters 2 wins, 0 at Allianz, Manly 3 wins, 2 at Allianz
2016 – Round 4 – Manly won by 2 at Allianz stadium
2015 – Round 25 – Roosters won by 36 at Lotto land
2014 – Round 16 – Manly won by 8 at Lotto land
2014 – Round 4 – Manly won by 8 at Lotto land
2013 – Round 30 – Roosters won by 8 at ANZ stadium

What we take from this?
This will be the first test in 2 weeks for a Manly after they faced a Cowboys outfit with no go forward and a dismal Bulldogs team. We aren’t sold on this Manly outfit just yet, with the Eels and Souths really showing their weaknesses.
This Manly team is vastly different from their previous years teams, this was taken into account with the 5 game averages,
With Two days extra rest for the Roosters, we believe they will continue on their trend of coming out of the sheds with spiders on them and lay some tries on Manly.
First Half statistics for Sydney Roosters:
Their attack has scored: 28,16,10,14. (rounds 1-4)
They have held teams too scores of: 0,8,8,0. (rounds 1-4)

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NRL ROUND 5 – BULLDOGS v BRONCOS – FREE TIPS

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Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Brisbane Broncos
30 March 2017, 8:05pm (AEDST)
ANZ Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 1-0-3

Wow, sums out the lack lustre performance by the Bulldogs last round. 36 points to Nil as they were decimated by a red hot Manly team, led by D.C-Evans with 5 try assists. In stark contrast to a Bulldogs outfit which never looked like scoring a try, with both halves failing to deliver a timely pass or a kick to apply pressure on Manly’s back three (Fullback and both wingers). Worrying times for the Bulldogs faithful, but it’s only round Four, it’s a long season, however short term it looks like another tough week ahead.

Brisbane Broncos 2-0-2

Another nail bitting win has Brisbane fans buying A.E.D. Defibrillator machines off eBay to combat their narrow games. With their last 3 matches determined by 2 points or less, their only large win was against the premiers by 8 points. Last week the Raiders threw everything at this classy outfit on a wet field, where it took 43 minutes for the first try to be scored, stark contrast to a try scoring feast as anticipated. Showing great composure Kahu nailed the field goal in the 74th minute to seal a 13-12 win to the relief of Brisbane fans. In this hard fought victory the Brisbane forwards really stepped up, with 5 forwards clearing 100m in territory, 3 line breaks and 6 offloads.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Canterbury Bulldogs

M. Mbye is suspended for a round this allows M. Frawley to step up and get the Bulldogs attack firing.

Brisbane Broncos

Remain unchanged as they pray for a match not to go to golden point or decided by 1 point.
Their last 5 game report card: Bulldogs 2 wins, 1 at ANZ, Brisbane 3 wins, 1 at ANZ
2016 – Round 24 – Broncos won by 10 at Suncorp
2016 – Round 16 – Bulldogs won by 26 at ANZ
2015 – Round 22 – Bulldogs won by 2 at Suncorp
2015 – Round 18 – Broncos won by 8 at ANZ
2014 – Round 22 – Broncos won by 31 at Suncorp
What we take from this?

We are expecting a spirited first 20 minutes from the Bulldogs, however this Brisbane pack has been immense in the first four rounds. If after this 20 minutes the Bulldogs don’t have 10+ points on the board, the emotions will be low and Brisbane will use this to their advantage.
Mbye’s absence will either inspire Reynolds and Frawley or will add to the woes of this proud club. Unfortunately from our point of view, it will prove to much pressure for Reynolds and he will revert to being overly aggressive and give away too many penalties as he tries to hard. It’s not the end of the season for the Bulldogs, but if they lose badly expect the media pressure to be dialled up 1,000% on D. Hasler and his men.
Brisbane have played four tough games to date, coach Bennett will ensure their complacency doesn’t creep in as they face a toothless Bulldogs attack. Milford has been slammed in the media, with a large forward pack that seems to be off their game, he could absolutely win this game off his back. Watch him late in the halves targeting the tired forwards with a burst of speed.

For Us Brisbane will be far to strong across the park, add in an extra two days of rest/preparation and its hard to see the Bulldogs beating them. Their young forwards are playing well above their pay grade ensuring their is no rest for the opposition on their interchanges, which will trouble the Bulldogs big forward pack.

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NRL ROUND 4 – BRONCOS v RAIDERS – FREE TIPS

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Brisbane Broncos Vs Canberra Raiders
24 March 2017, 8:05pm (AEDST)
Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 1-0-2, 9th position

They almost managed to steal the win at AAMI park last week, scoring the first try against the Storm. However, the Storm wrestled their way back in front by half time by 2 points. Once again Brisbane jumped out of the blocks and B. Hunt gave a reminder to why the Dragons are paying a large amount of money for his services next year. But the Storm never gives up and in Classic C. Smith style he landed the try conversion from near the side line to take the lead in the final 3 seconds.
Another great game between these two modern rivals, Brisbane will take a lot out of the game and will be better for this game with an 8 day turn around compared to the Raiders 5.

Canberra Raiders 1-0-2, 8th position
Finally the Raiders outfit that was a devastating force last year, hit it strides against a West Tigers team that were traveling well. The Raiders came from 16th position to 8th after clearing their points differential and then some, piling on 46 unanswered points. With inspirational captain J. Croker back, this seemed to sure up his edge and allowed some magnificent long range tries,that arguably, the Raiders are the best team in this competition to produce these constant efforts. The Tigers halves were completely out classed and their forwards were also given some hard lessons, from the likes of Papalii (225m gained) Priest (157m) and Soliola (114m) all tearing them apart. An exciting sign for Raiders fans, however on a 5 day turn around and the travel to Brisbane, it will be interesting to see how they go tonight.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Brisbane Broncos
No team changes from last week, with Coach Bennett opting for consistency rather than a knee jerk response to two losses from 3 starts.
team changes, injuries to affect game

Canberra Raiders
J. Tapine, could be a late inclusion, which could add to the Raiders offload abilities if he can prove his fitness before game time.

Their last 5 game report card: Brisbane 3 wins, 1 at Suncorp, 2 away, Raiders 2 wins, both away. Last 3 games at Suncorp, Brisbane has won all 3, by 24,1 and most recently 8 points.

2016 – Round 14 – Brisbane won by 8 at Suncorp stadium
2015 – Round 12 – Brisbane won by 12 at GIO stadium
2014 – Round 13 – Brisbane won by 24 at GIO stadium
2013 – Round 13 – Canberra won by 12 at GIO stadium
2012 – Round 22 – Canberra won by 16 at GIO stadium

What we take from this?
Brisbane with an extra 3 days rest is massive in this competition, Massive. Pus being at home where Canberra haven’t won a game since 2010, also affects the mental approach for this game. Brisbane seem to be getting all the ticks and we don’t think the Raiders will be able to turn the above trends around even after a resounding win over the Tigers.

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NRL ROUND 4 – RABBITOHS v ROOSTERS – FREE TIPS

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South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Sydney Roosters
23 March 2017, 8:05pm
ANZ Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs 2-0-1

A hard fought win against an improving Newcastle Knights team, takes the Rabbitohs to 5th on the ladder after 3 rounds. Something that is creeping into the Souths side which we haven’t seen under the leadership of coach M. Maguire and that’s poor discipline. Last week they were down to 12 men, after G. Burgess lashed out, 14 errors and a measly 63% completion rate. To be honest, if they played one of the top teams last round, they would have had lost by 20 points or more. A big improvement in the above statistics will need to occur other wise it could be a long night against a very good Roosters outfit.

Sydney Roosters 3-0-0

Sitting in 2nd position is a stark contrast from last years start opening games. A controversial win last week due to a missed forward pass from the touch judge no more than 2m away. But for many we believe in the “footy gods” and this will be squared up in a later match. Apart from this poor call, it was what we expected a hard fraught battle with some razzle dazzle tries scored in a very entertaining game. Scarily for the other NRL teams, Pearce found his running game back last week. And no surprise that once he hit his strides, the rest of the team followed and they stepped up a notch. Penalties and errors are still stifling their game, if they can clean this up against Souths this week, it could be ugly.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)
South Sydney Rabbitohs:
Coach Maguire can’t catch a break at the moment the poor bloke. With three more forced changes to his “potential” starting 17 men.
At full back C. Walker, was playing 5/8, shifts A. Johnston to wing.
A. Johnston, was playing Full back, is on the wing due to Burns suspension.
J. Sutton, was playing second row, shifts to 5/8 due to the reshuffle of the back 3.
S. Talakai gets his second run on position at centre, with H. Hunt suspended.
It’s too early to say who’s playing where in the forwards, but it’s not their strongest forward pack, which could be of concern.
And it could all be reversed by Maguire an hour before the game to revert his Full back and 5/8 back to their original positions, to not break up an affective spine. Walker is on fire with 6 try assists to date, being at full back would limit this ability.

Sydney Roosters:
A shock exclusion of J. Friend, due to a late facial injury and their short time between games, sees C. Watson step into his big shoes for this match up. B. Ferguson also failed to impress Coach Robinson and has also dropped off the extended bench.
P. Carter moves on to the bench, however final team lists will confirm this.

Their last 5 game report card: Souths 3 wins, 2 at ANZ, Sydney 2 wins, 1 at ANZ
2016 – Round 6 – Roosters won by 7, ANZ Stadium
2016 – Round 1 – Souths won by 32, Allianz Stadium
2015 – Round 26 – Sydney won by 30, Allianz
2015 – Round 2 – Souths won by 8, ANZ Stadium
2014 – Round 29 – Souths won by 10, ANZ stadium

What we take from this?
With the largest win by Souths, largely due to the terrible off season dramas of 2016, we are liking the Roosters to get the job done in this fixture. Friend will be missed, but for us with Pearce, Keary and Gordon vs Walker, Reynolds and Sutton is a big tick for the Tri colours (Roosters). The Hooker position is a tick for Souths, but the better forward pack in the way of the Roosters should give their backs a better platform to execute their plans.

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ROOSTERS -5.5 @ 1.75 (Crownbet)

NRL ROUND 3 – COWBOYS v SEA EAGLES – FREE TIPS

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North Queensland Cowboys Vs Manly Sea Eagles
18 March 2017, 9pm (AEDST)
1300SMILES Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 2-0-0

The Cowboys once again pushed the Brisbane Broncos to a gold point game. And they grabbed the competition points with a field goal from Thurston in the 87th minute. This was the second golden point game in a row and the extra days rest for tonight’s game will be well deserved. Their team was slick and fought back the whole game, with multiple plays pushing their limits to secure this win. Granville flew under the radar and had a ripper of a game, scoring in the 43 minute to reignite the Cowboys early in the second half and was, as always, solid in defence. Thurston stood tall with his no.2 man Morgan showing why he’s going to be a top tier player in a few years.

Manly Sea Eagles 0-0-2
Off to a flyer vs Souths last week, scoring 3 tries in 12 minutes to take a 12 nil lead. As we have seen so far this year however, their defence folded quicker than a cheap camping chair from K-Mart. Letting in 3 Converted tries by Halftime and falling off their structures again and allowed Souths to pile on a further 20 points in the last 20 minutes. If they do this again tonight, it could be another very ugly loss. Their forwards need to lift their game tonight and start doing the hard yards to allow their backs to score the points that they do have in them.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

North Queensland Cowboys:
Suspension and injury has taking its toll on the Cowboys. The Outs: M. Scott, L. Coote, A. Winterstein and J. Taumalolo are adequately covered by the depth of this team. The Ins include, P. Kaufusi, K. Ponga, J. Bowen and Fensom to be on the bench. There is still mystery to the final make up of the team, but Hess is anticipated to start, not Hampton, but we won’t know until final team lists.

Manly Sea Eagles:
No major structural changes with S. Lane onto the bench in replacement for B. Bainbridge. Confusingly for us, J. Hastings still isn’t getting a run, with the team at 2 losses, if they lose tonight this may change.

Their last 5 game report card: NQ 5-0, 3-0 at home, 2-0 at Lottoland, Manly 0-5, 0-3 at 1300SMILES.
2016 – round 16, NQ won 30-26 in NQ and Round 9, NQ won 34-18 at Lottoland.
2015 – round 19, NQ won 30-12 at Lottoland and round 12, won 18-14 at 1300SMILES.
2014 – round 26, NQ won 30-16 at 1300SMILES

Fun fact – NQ have won 34/40 at 1300SMILES Stadium and Manly have only won 1 game away from Lotto land since round 8 2016.

What we take from this?
This is the golden era for North Queensland, they are almost unbeatable at home, mix in the atrocious traveling ability of the Manly team and its going to be 35/41 games at 1300SMILES. The weather could play a factory, atm (3:42pm AEDST) its fine,but the weather forecast is “isolated thunderstorms from 9pm to the early morning.

For Us it’s a win for NQ, we are buying a few points, just in case the weather is a shocker. Also remembering the “Golden Numbers” in NRL are 2,4,6,10,12. The line is currently a tricky -11.5 across the board, which means you will need 2 Converted tries.

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