NRL ROUND 7 – BULLDOGS v RABBITOHS – FREE TIPS

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
14 April 2017, 4pm (AEST)
ANZ Stadium

Game 1 of Good Friday and what a cracker, two packs that really dislike each other and origin hopefuls in their halves. Are the Bulldogs starting to flex their muscles? or can a Souths team show us why we shouldn’t be writing them off just yet?

Canterbury Bulldogs 3-0-3, 11th

An interesting game vs the Knights last week, where if a few calls went the Knights way, they could have lost. The Knights had two disallowed tries, one that is causing a lot of riffs in fan clubs, but the Bulldogs did hold off an inspired Knights outfit, that is proving they are no easy beat.
Some good points from the Bulldogs, with J. Graham making 219m, a crazy 42 tackles (didn’t miss one), 3 offloads and only the one error from this monster effort. Sam Kasiano, was also in a mood crashing and bashing his way to 160m, A. Tolman 137m (51 tackles) and J. Jackson also cleared the 100m mark with 112m.
Very positive signs for this proud pack with their big names starting to find form and off the back of this Mbye and J. Reynolds will find their groove.
For us this game is a danger, they rely heavily on their forward pack and vs a Souths pack which is also finding their feet, we can’t wait.

South Sydney Rabbitohs 3-0-3, 9th

A hard fought win last week against a depleted Penrith outfit, will give them lots of confidence going into this clash. But is it a flash in the pan or a sign that the Rabbitohs are hitting their goals internally now and producing the goods on the field. An absolute stand out was C. Walker, 145m, 23 tackles, 6 tackle breaks and a Try. He was in everything and he must have had spiders on him, as he carved up the Penrith attack. To think he was finally given a crack at first grade at the ripe age of 26, is a shame. He has all the talent and now is showing why Souths released Keary and kept him. Also in some career best form, J. Sutton made 146m, 2 tackle breaks, 1 line break, 1 line break assist and try assist, another indicator that Souths are slowly getting better. Another clutch field goal by A. Reynolds, as he pushes his hat into the origin arena showcasing his ability to deliver in tough and fatiguing situations. He will be tested this week with pressure from this Bulldogs pack and watch for him being hit every time he kicks the Ball.

Team news: (Final team lists released an hour before the game)

Canterbury Bulldogs

B. Morris switches to Full back, with B. Abbey out
D. Klemmer is also out, with possibly A. Elliot replacing him, but there is a large amount of forwards named.
Holland comes back to the team and has found his place on the wing.
It will be interesting to see their bench, if they add Frawley or Garvey to their final list or go Forward Heavy.

South Sydney Rabbitohs

No Changes are expected.

Their last 5 game report card:
Bulldogs 2 wins, both at ANZ, Souths 3 wins, all at ANZ. (Last 14 matches between these 2 clubs have been at ANZ, both winning 7 games.)

2016 – Round 26 – Souths won by 18
2016 – Round 4 – Bulldogs won by 30
2015 – Round 24 – Bulldogs won by 14
2015 – Round 15 – Souths won by 1
2014 – Grand final – Souths won by 24

What we take from this?
We don’t consider the ground a major factor, as both teams have played there numerous times, with a 50% win rate split atm (since 2011). On form, the Bulldogs have won their last two games, where Souths just broke a two game losing streak. It’s not an easy game at all to pick as all over the park, we see even match ups.

For Us, With both forward packs unlikely to be intimidated, we are still finding it hard to pick a winner, due to the Bulldogs team changes. A. Reynolds superior kicking game, will help Souths no end, it’s going to come down to discipline and either team can be guilty of being poor in this department .

But we have found some gold below.

FREE TIP:
Team total points 2 Way – 2 (Souths) – OVER 16.5 $1.80 (Bet365)
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Souths have cleared this total 4/6 games so far this year.
Souths at ANZ have cleared this total 11 out of their last 14 games.

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