St George Illawarra Dragons v Sydney Roosters Monday – 4pm , Allianz Stadium, Sydney
An interesting matchup this week between these two sides as last week we saw Roosters nearly upset Penrith and St George having their best performance of the season against Titans. Defense is certainly not an issue to the Dragons though I think most would agree that they possess the worst attack in the NRL. If Roosters let some tries leak early in the game, losing the first half, I can see Dragons going ahead to win the game. Roosters defense is subpar at best although there are whispers that veterans Boyd Cordner and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves may be late inclusions, returning from injury to even the playing field. Besides the embarrassment that occurred at 1300 Smiles against Cowboys, where Roosters were obliterated 40-0, they have managed to stay within single digits of every opponent they have faced. Dragons have a better record on ANZAC day matches and have won the majority of the clashes between Dragons vs Roosters in general, though the recent form would suggest that Roosters could outclass them in this one. From the aforementioned we can gather that this game will be close, defensive and low scoring.
• Shaun Kenny-Dowall has scored 5 times in the last 5 games vs Dragons
• Dragons have scored under 20 points in every match this season
• Roosters have won 6 of their last 7 games against Dragons All Bets on Crown
Cronulla Sharks v Penrith Panthers Sunday, 4pm, Shark Park, Sydney
Cronulla have been impressive so far this season earning themselves a spot in the top 4, while Penrith are sitting 10th on the ladder with only points % keeping from being a top 8 side. Ex Panther Luke Lewis returns to Cronulla from suspension, adding to the already superior defense that the Sharks possess. Sam Mckendry is out for Panthers, which could damage their chances. Panthers are one of the few teams that can travel to Shark Park and win against the home side having done it on numerous occasions. Sharks have not lost a game at home this season and Penrith have not won consecutive games this season making Cronulla the more favourable side to back in this match up.
• Penriths win/loss point difference is 8 points or less for this season
• Besides Canberra and sides in the bottom 4, Sharks victories this season have been decided by 8 points or less.
• Penrith have won the last 5/10 games at Shark Park with 8/10 of the Total scores resulting in over 40
Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors Monday, 7pm, AAMI Park
The Anzac day clashes between these two sides have been nothing short of spectacular in the past and we are hoping that this game carries on this Monday in the same fashion. Warriors played some remarkable rugby last week to take down the Bulldogs at Westpac Stadium for the first time. Unfortunately one of Warriors top tier players, fullback Roger Tuivasa-Sheck, has suffered an injury which has resulted in him being out for the season. Lolohea will move from the halves into fullback to take over Tuivasa-Shecks duties while Luluai moves into the halves to offside Shaun Johnson. Storm played rather average last week when they defeated West Tigers in golden point, with rookie Suliasi Vunavalu picking up two tries in replacement of Young Tonuimapaea. This week Tonuimapaea returns to the side, as does Manu Vatuvei for the Warriors. This may be the hardest game of the round to tip so there may be more inclination to bet on the games match points rather than to tip a winner.
• Monday night games tend to be lower scoring
• Storm are the only team who haven’t conceded 20 points this season
• Storm have won the last two encounters at AAMI Park